Rublev had a much better year than Zverev, winning a couple of big trophies and securing another participation at the ATP Finals. He also had some heartbreak, such as the Shanghai Masters run, which he nearly won.
Zverev had a weaker year comparatively which is why he was unsure about his ATP Finals participation up until recently. Still, finding himself there is a huge success after missing much of last year due to an ankle injury. They are good friends, they know each other well and they played 8 times so far.
The most recent match they played happened at the Vienna Open which Rublev won. It was a close match, three sets, but the Russian was able to come out on top. It was actually the 3rd match overall that Rublev played against Zverev this year.
All three went his way, which is interesting because the previous five were all won by Zverev. The H2H is 5-3 for Zverev, but the last time he won was in 2021. Since then, we have seen three matches, and all three were won by Rublev.
Will the Russian make it four in a row? He might, but he needs a few things to go right for now. He needs to win the rallies because that's going to be crucial. Zverev won in Turin before, so he's quite familiar with the venue. Rublev made it out of the group last year, so expect a close one here.
With the way they are both trending and with Zverev's fatigue, which was evident in recent weeks, it's side with the Russian here.
Prediction: Andrey Rublev to win in two sets.