Jannik Sinner will have to overcome a rather negative tradition against Stefanos Tsitsipas at the 2023 ATP Finals if he hopes to qualify for the semi-finals, so let's see whether he will.
Obviously, we don't know if he will, but there are some things that we can look at to help determine how likely his victory over Tsitsipas is. We have to say that, as of recently, Sinner has played much better than Tsitsipas and actually bested him this year.
The Greek has been pretty okay this year but didn't show anything special winning only one trophy so far. He's been okay in Turin but seemed to have preferred London, where he actually won a trophy a few years ago.
Traditionally, Tsitsipas has had a good time against Sinner because he leads the H2H 5-2 so far. He bested him earlier this year at the Australian Open, though barely, as he needed five sets.
Sinner avenged that loss not long after that in Rotterdam, beating Tsitsipas comfortably in two sets, and that's the crucial match to look at that.
That match was played indoors in somewhat similar conditions to the ones we might see in Turin, and it demonstrated well why Sinner can and probably will win this match. He's just too overwhelming from the baseline against Tsitsipas, as the Greek only has his serve to counter.
If we add the way Sinner has played in recent weeks, then it becomes only more daunting of a task for Tsitsipas. Just compare their performances indoors this year.
Sinner is 13-1, losing only to Daniil Medvedev earlier this year in the Rotterdam final. He just beat Medvedev in Vienna indoors, which shows you that he has improved since the start of the year.
Tsitispas is 9-4, which is good, but it's not good enough. I expect him to be quite good but simply not good enough.
Prediction: Jannik Sinner to win in two sets.