Iga Swiatek In Danger Of Shocking Ranking Collapse After Roland Garros

Iga Swiatek's ranking could plummet if she does not perform well at the 2025 Italian Open and the 2025 French Open at Roland Garros.

The Pole won the title at both events last year. She secured a third Italian Open title by beating Aryna Sabalenka in the final before hammering Jasmine Paolini to win a fourth French Open crown in the last five years.

Those tournaments have been the most successful of Swiatek's career. The clay at each event is slower than at the Madrid Open, and suits the 23-year-old's playing style to perfection when her game clicks.

However, Swiatek has a different type of pressure to perform this year. In 2022, 2023, and 2024, she was the WTA world No. 1 and tried to extend or hold her position by playing well in Rome and Paris.

Bad results this year could leave Swiatek at her lowest ranking in years. The five-time Grand Slam champion is currently at No. 2 but has slipped far behind Aryna Sabalenka, who holds a commanding lead at No. 1.

Surprisingly for someone of Swiatek's considerable class, she has not reached a final since winning the 2024 French Open. That means her other rivals outside of Sabalenka have caught up and could overtake her after the Italian Open or French Open.

Swiatek currently has 6,773 ranking points. That is just 170 points more than Coco Gauff, who thrashed her at the Madrid Open last week, and 230 points more than Jessica Pegula, who is No. 4.

Pegula is not defending any points from last year's Italian Open and is guaranteed to overtake Swiatek if the Pole does not reach the final. Gauff is defending 400 points and also has a good chance of climbing ahead of her fellow young star.

Although her chances are much slimmer, Jasmine Paolini could also mathematically overtake Swiatek if she wins the title and the former world No. 1 fails to reach the round of 16 at the event she has won three times.

If Swiatek exits early at the Italian Open, she could shockingly leave the Top 10 since she must defend the huge 2,000 ranking points she earned by winning her fourth crown at Roland Garros last year.

That scenario would give her rivals a chance to move ahead. Madison Keys, Mirra Andreeva, Qinwen Zheng, Paula Badosa, and Emma Navarro are the other players currently in the Top 10. Diana Shnaider and Elena Rybakina are at Nos. 11 and 12, respectively.

All those women could overtake Siwatek if her form utterly collapses at the Italian Open and French Open. However, having perspective and realizing that those possibilities are not a formality is also important.

Despite enduring a tough season so far, Swiatek has reached at least the quarterfinals of all her events in 2025, which were in conditions not as favorable to her as those in Rome and Paris.

Although the period since the 2024 French Open has not been easy for Swiatek, she could silence her critics by dominating once again at her two best tournaments.