Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev: 2024 Australian Open - Preview & Prediction

Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev: 2024 Australian Open - Preview & Prediction

by Zachary Wimer

Jannik Sinner and Andrey Rublev both want to win the 2024 Australian Open, but only one will advance to the semi-final after they play their match.

Sinner and Rublev, on paper, sounds like a blockbuster and probably will end up as such on the court. The way Rublev turned around the match against Alex de Minaur was very impressive, and Sinner will be aware of it.

The Italian has been pretty solid so far, but there is certainly a level above he can get to. He'll likely have to find it to win this match because Rublev won't give up that easily.

He's fixed some of his stamina issues from the past and is now ready for a four-hour battle. That's what it took against de Minaur, so his fitness will be a bit in question, but luckily, neither loves long rallies.


When it comes to previous matches, there is quite a lot to look at. They have played six matches so far, and Sinner has been slightly better, beating Rublev in four of those.

The most recent one was in Vienna last year, where Sinner won 7-5 7-6(5). The other one played in 2023 was also won by Sinner easily, so lately, the Italian has had the upper hand.

Jannik Sinner Andrey Rublev 
4 H2H 2
4 Rank 5
22 Age 26
4-0 2024 W/L 8-0
194-74 Career W/L 300-158


Does that mean that he will have the upper hand again? Well, it might be because when it comes to pure hitting talent, Sinner is a bit above Rublev. It seems crazy to say so, but he really thought both could be extremely strong.

It's going to be a close and complicated matchup, but Sinner has been able to hit a higher level consistently in the past few months as opposed to Rublev, who is more hit-and-miss. That's why I think the Italian got this in the bag.

Prediction: Jannik Sinner to win in four sets.


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